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Read Article Uzbekistan vs. Colombia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Uzbekistan vs Colombia predictions for World Cup 2026 Wednesday.
Uzbekistan will square off with Colombia in Group K of the World Cup 2026 at Estadio Banorte on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Colombia as the most likely winner of the Uzbekistan vs. Colombia game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Uzbekistan and Colombia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 10.7% chance of Uzbekistan winning, a 69.7% chance for Colombia, and a 19.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51.5% chance of staying under, with a 59.9% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Colombia holds a 46.2% probability to win without conceding, with Uzbekistan at 6.4%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Colombia to win or draw at 89.3%.
Colombia vs. Uzbekistan odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Uzbekistan | Colombia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +1000 | -300 | +425 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | +116 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Uzbekistan @ +1000 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +116 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Uzbekistan @ +1250 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Uzbekistan or Draw @ +260 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -140 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Colombia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Uzbekistan 0-1 Colombia | 14.6% |
| Uzbekistan 0-2 Colombia | 14.5% |
| Uzbekistan 0-3 Colombia | 9.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 40.1% chance of both Uzbekistan and Colombia finding the net and a 59.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Wednesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Uzbekistan-Colombia:
Uzbekistan
- Eldor Shomurodov: 13.6% probability
- Oston Urunov: 8.6% probability
- Abbosbek Fayzullaev: 8.6% probability
- Otabek Shukurov: 6.0% probability
- Sherzod Nasrullayev: 4.1% probability
Colombia
- Luis Suarez: 31.7% probability
- Luis Diaz: 31.1% probability
- James Rodriguez: 22.3% probability
- Jhon Arias: 22.2% probability
- Gustavo Puerta: 13.0% probability
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's FIFA World Cup action between Uzbekistan and Colombia at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Uzbekistan vs. Colombia
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Banorte
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Uzbekistan has a 10.7% win probability on Wednesday, Colombia has a 69.7% win probability, and there is a 19.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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