England vs. Croatia prediction revised after 2026 World Cup squad announcements

With official squads now confirmed for the World Cup, our experts have calculated the updated win probabilities and best bets for the Group L matchup between Croatia and England at AT&T Stadium on Wednesday, June 17.

Dimers Pro users have access to the updated analysis below, where we build on our early Croatia-England predictions to detail the latest probabilities and betting picks, and have a complete look at the official squads for both teams.

Official World Cup squads: England and Croatia

Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:

England

Goalkeepers: Jordan Pickford (Everton), Dean Henderson (Crystal Palace), James Trafford (Manchester City)

Defenders: Reece James (Chelsea), Ezri Konsa (Aston Villa), Jarell Quansah (Bayer Leverkusen), John Stones (Manchester City), Marc Guéhi (Manchester City), Dan Burn (Newcastle United), Nico O'Reilly (Manchester City), Djed Spence (Tottenham Hotspur), Tino Livramento (Newcastle United)

Midfielders: Declan Rice (Arsenal), Elliot Anderson (Nottingham Forest), Kobbie Mainoo (Manchester United), Jordan Henderson (Brentford), Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa), Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid), Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Forwards: Harry Kane (Bayern Munich), Ivan Toney (Al-Ahli), Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa), Bukayo Saka (Arsenal), Marcus Rashford (Manchester United), Anthony Gordon (Newcastle United), Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Manager: Thomas Tuchel

Croatia

Goalkeepers: Dominik Livakovic (Dinamo Zagreb), Dominik Kotarski (Kobenhavn), Ivor Pandur (Hull City)

Defenders: Josko Gvardiol (Manchester City), Duje Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad), Josip Sutalo (Ajax), Josip Stanisic (Bayern Munich), Marin Pongracic (Fiorentina), Martin Erlic (Midtjylland), Luka Vuskovic (Hamburg)

Midfielders: Luka Modric (AC Milan), Mateo Kovacic (Manchester City), Mario Pasalic (Atalanta), Nikola Vlasic (Torino), Luka Sucic (Real Sociedad), Martin Baturina (Como), Kristijan Jakic (Augsburg), Petar Sucic (Inter Milan), Nikola Moro (Bologna), Toni Fruk (Rijeka)

Forwards: Ivan Perisic (PSV Eindhoven), Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim), Ante Budimir (Osasuna), Marco Pasalic (Orlando City), Petar Musa (FC Dallas), Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

Manager: Zlatko Dalic

Updated England vs. Croatia predictions and picks including +390 play

Leveraging our updated data and the above roster updates, we have re-run the numbers on this clash. Here are the new insights:

• Win probabilities: England 56.3%, Croatia 19.2%, Draw 24.5%
• Both teams to score: Yes 46.2%, No 53.8%
• Total goals (2.5): Over 45.5%, Under 54.5%
• Win to nil: England 34.5%, Croatia 11.0%
• Double chance (win or draw): England 80.8%, Croatia 43.7%
• Most likely final score: 1-0 England win (13.6%)

These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for England and Croatia.

England vs. Croatia picks and best bet

We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Croatia to win.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge on Croatia's odds provides the best long-term value right now.

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Croatia vs. England World Cup details

The FIFA World Cup matchup between England and Croatia is scheduled for June 17, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their campaigns in what is looking to be the biggest ever World Cup.

• Teams: England vs. Croatia
• Tournament stage: Group L
• Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium
• Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?

Conclusion: England vs. Croatia prediction

Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that ** to win** is the most likely outcome, followed by to win, with to win as the least likely result.

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