Argentina vs. Egypt prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 16]

Argentina will take on Egypt in the round of 16 of the World Cup 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Tuesday, commencing at 12:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects Argentina as the most likely winner of the Argentina vs. Egypt game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Argentina vs. Egypt prediction: Who will win and advance to the Quarter-Finals?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 game between Argentina and Egypt, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 73.1% chance of Argentina winning, an 8.1% chance for Egypt, and an 18.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.4% chance of staying under, with a 66.9% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Argentina holds a 53.1% probability to win without conceding, with Egypt given a 5.3% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Argentina to win or draw at 91.9%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

Egypt vs. Argentina odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Argentina	Egypt	Draw
-300	+1100	+400

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+105	-115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Argentina vs. Egypt picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Egypt @ +1100 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Egypt @ +1100 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Argentina or Draw @ -2000 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -174 via FanDuel

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Egypt to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Argentina vs. Egypt: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Argentina win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Argentina 1-0 Egypt	16.9%
Argentina 2-0 Egypt	16.7%
Argentina 3-0 Egypt	11%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 33.1% chance of both Argentina and Egypt finding the net and a 66.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Argentina vs. Egypt player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Argentina-Egypt:

Argentina

• Lionel Messi: 46.9% probability
• Julian Alvarez: 30.5% probability
• Enzo Fernandez: 13.8% probability
• Alexis Allister: 11.8% probability
• Rodrigo De Paul: 9.6% probability

Egypt

• Mohamed Salah: 12.3% probability
• Mostafa Ziko: 9.4% probability
• Emam Ashour: 5.4% probability
• Haissem Hassan: 5.2% probability
• Ramy Rabia: 2.9% probability

Argentina vs. Egypt game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's soccer World Cup action between Argentina and Egypt at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Argentina vs. Egypt
• Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Argentina has a 73.1% win probability on Tuesday, Egypt has an 8.1% win probability, and there is an 18.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.