Colombia vs. Ghana prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]

Colombia will take on Ghana in the round of 32 of the World Cup 2026 at Arrowhead Stadium on Friday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Colombia as the most likely winner of the Colombia vs. Ghana game.

Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Colombia vs. Ghana prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Colombia and Ghana, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 67.6% chance of Colombia winning, an 11.7% chance for Ghana, and a 20.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.0% chance of staying under, with a 59.5% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Colombia holds a 44.7% probability to win without conceding, with Ghana given a 7.0% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Colombia to win or draw at 88.3%.

Keep in mind that soccer markets are settled at the end of 90 minutes. Unlike NBA betting where overtime counts, extra time won't factor into these odds unless explicitly noted.

Ghana vs. Colombia odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Colombia	Ghana	Draw
-225	+800	+333

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+108	-132

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Colombia vs. Ghana picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Ghana @ +800 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +108 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Ghana @ +900 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Colombia or Ghana @ -450 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -160 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Ghana to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Ghana's odds provide the best value right now.

Colombia vs. Ghana: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Colombia win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Colombia 1-0 Ghana	14.8%
Colombia 2-0 Ghana	14.2%
Colombia 1-1 Ghana	9.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 40.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 59.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Colombia vs. Ghana player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Colombia-Ghana:

Colombia

• Luis Diaz: 29.5% probability
• Jhon Cordoba: 29.2% probability
• James Rodriguez: 21.8% probability
• Jhon Arias: 17.0% probability
• Gustavo Puerta: 10.9% probability

Ghana

• Jordan Ayew: 10.9% probability
• Antoine Semenyo: 9.6% probability
• Inaki Williams: 9.0% probability
• Thomas Partey: 6.5% probability
• Caleb Yirenkyi: 4.4% probability

Colombia vs. Ghana game-day updates and essential details

Friday's soccer World Cup action between Colombia and Ghana at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Colombia vs. Ghana
• Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Arrowhead Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Colombia has a 67.6% win probability on Friday, Ghana has an 11.7% win probability, and there is a 20.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.