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Read Article Brazil vs. Haiti prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Brazil vs Haiti predictions for World Cup 2026 Friday.
World Cup 2026 action continues on Friday at 8:30 PM ET as Haiti takes on the favored Brazil in Group C at Lincoln Financial Field.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Brazil as the most likely winner of the Brazil vs. Haiti game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Brazil vs. Haiti prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Brazil and Haiti, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates an 86.0% chance of Brazil winning, a 4.4% chance for Haiti, and a 9.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 3.5-goal over/under has a 51.6% chance of going over, with a 56.0% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Brazil holds a 51.5% probability to win without conceding, with Haiti at 2.0%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Brazil to win or draw at 95.6%.
Haiti vs. Brazil odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Brazil | Haiti | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -900 | +2000 | +950 |
Total Goals
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|
| -115 | +105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Brazil vs. Haiti picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Haiti @ +950 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ +105 via BetMGM
- Win to Nil: Haiti @ +2500 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Haiti or Draw @ +600 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +135 via BetMGM
According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Haiti to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Brazil vs. Haiti: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 3-0 Brazil win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Brazil 3-0 Haiti | 12.1% |
| Brazil 2-0 Haiti | 11.5% |
| Brazil 4-0 Haiti | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 56.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Brazil vs. Haiti player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Brazil-Haiti:
Brazil
- Vinicius Junior: 50.9% probability
- Raphinha : 41.8% probability
- Matheus Cunha: 35.8% probability
- Lucas Paqueta: 26.3% probability
- Casemiro : 16.8% probability
Haiti
- Frantzdy Pierrot: 14.1% probability
- Ruben Providence: 8.5% probability
- Josue Casimir: 7.9% probability
- Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: 6.4% probability
- Danley Jacques: 5.1% probability
Brazil vs. Haiti game-day updates and essential details
Friday's FIFA World Cup action between Brazil and Haiti at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Brazil vs. Haiti
- Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Brazil has an 86.0% win probability on Friday, Haiti has a 4.4% win probability, and there is a 9.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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