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Read Article Belgium vs. Iran prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Belgium vs Iran predictions for World Cup 2026 Sunday.
Belgium and Iran will lock horns in Group G of the World Cup 2026 at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Belgium as the most likely winner of the Belgium vs. Iran game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Belgium vs. Iran prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's World Cup 2026 game between Belgium and Iran, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 65.8% chance of Belgium winning, a 14.1% chance for Iran, and a 20.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.9% chance of going over, with a 51.0% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Belgium holds a 38.1% probability to win without conceding, with Iran given a 7.2% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Belgium to win or draw at 85.9%.
Iran vs. Belgium odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Belgium | Iran | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -245 | +750 | +375 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | +105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Belgium vs. Iran picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Iran @ +750 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
- Win to Nil: Iran @ +900 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Iran or Draw @ +195 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +110 via BetMGM
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Belgium vs. Iran: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Belgium win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Belgium 2-0 Iran | 11.8% |
| Belgium 1-0 Iran | 11.5% |
| Belgium 2-1 Iran | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.0% chance of both Belgium and Iran finding the net and a 51.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Belgium vs. Iran player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Belgium-Iran:
Belgium
- Romelu Lukaku: 37.9% probability
- Kevin De Bruyne: 26.0% probability
- Leandro Trossard: 23.1% probability
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 16.1% probability
- Youri Tielemans: 14.2% probability
Iran
- Mehdi Taremi: 16.6% probability
- Mohammad Mohebi: 11.7% probability
- Ramin Rezaeian: 6.7% probability
- Saman Ghoddos: 5.9% probability
- Ehsan Hajsafi: 4.4% probability
Belgium vs. Iran game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's soccer World Cup action between Belgium and Iran at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Belgium vs. Iran
- Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Belgium has a 65.8% win probability on Sunday, Iran has a 14.1% win probability, and there is a 20.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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