Egypt vs. Iran prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Egypt and Iran will meet in Group G of the World Cup 2026 at Lumen Field on Friday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects Egypt as the most likely winner of the Egypt vs. Iran game.

This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Egypt vs. Iran prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's World Cup 2026 game between Egypt and Iran, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 37.9% chance of Egypt winning, a 31.2% chance for Iran, and a 30.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 1.5-goal over/under has a 59.0% chance of going over, with a 60.6% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Egypt holds a 25.8% probability to win without conceding, with Iran given a 21.0% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is a win for either Egypt or Iran at 69.1%.

Iran vs. Egypt odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Egypt	Iran	Draw
+165	+250	+170

Total Goals

Over 1.5	Under 1.5
-170	+140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Egypt vs. Iran picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Iran @ +250 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 1.5 @ +140 via DraftKings
• Win to Nil: Iran @ +360 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Egypt or Iran @ -220 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -145 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Iran to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Iran's odds provide the best value right now.

Egypt vs. Iran: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Egypt win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Egypt 1-0 Iran	14.5%
Egypt 0-0 Iran	13.7%
Egypt 1-1 Iran	13.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 39.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 60.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Egypt vs. Iran player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Egypt-Iran:

Egypt

• Mohamed Salah: 23.1% probability
• Mostafa Ziko: 15.6% probability
• Trezeguet : 15.0% probability
• Emam Ashour: 10.5% probability
• Mahmoud Saber: 7.7% probability

Iran

• Mehdi Taremi: 21.6% probability
• Mohammad Mohebi: 16.0% probability
• Ramin Rezaeian: 8.1% probability
• Saman Ghoddos: 7.7% probability
• Saeid Ezatolahi: 5.9% probability

Egypt vs. Iran game-day updates and essential details

Friday's soccer World Cup action between Egypt and Iran at Lumen Field is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Egypt vs. Iran
• Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Egypt has a 37.9% win probability on Friday, Iran has a 31.2% win probability, and there is a 30.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.