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Read Article France vs. Iraq prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get France vs Iraq predictions for World Cup 2026 Monday.
France will square off with Iraq in Group I of the World Cup 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday, commencing at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts France as the most likely winner of the France vs. Iraq game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
France vs. Iraq prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's World Cup 2026 matchup between France and Iraq, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests an 87.3% chance of France winning, a 3.5% chance for Iraq, and a 9.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 3.5 goals has a 52.3% chance of staying under, with a 62.3% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, France holds a 57.5% probability to win without conceding, with Iraq given a 1.9% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is France to win or draw at 96.5%.
Iraq vs. France odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| France | Iraq | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -1100 | +3000 | +1200 |
Total Goals
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|
| -125 | +112 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
France vs. Iraq picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Iraq @ +1200 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ +112 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Iraq @ +2800 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Iraq or Draw @ +850 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +165 via BetMGM
According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 3.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
France vs. Iraq: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 3-0 France win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| France 3-0 Iraq | 13.5% |
| France 2-0 Iraq | 13.3% |
| France 4-0 Iraq | 10.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 37.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 62.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
France vs. Iraq player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in France-Iraq:
France
- Kylian Mbappe: 58.4% probability
- Michael Olise: 37.0% probability
- Ousmane Dembele: 35.5% probability
- Bradley Barcola: 31.7% probability
- Adrien Rabiot: 18.1% probability
Iraq
- Aymen Hussein: 13.4% probability
- Ibrahim Bayesh: 6.4% probability
- Ahmed Qasem: 6.1% probability
- Zidane Iqbal: 4.1% probability
- Zaid Ismael: 3.9% probability
France vs. Iraq game-day updates and essential details
Monday's soccer World Cup matchup between France and Iraq at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: France vs. Iraq
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, France has an 87.3% win probability on Monday, Iraq has a 3.5% win probability, and there is a 9.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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