Iran vs. New Zealand prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Iran and New Zealand will lock horns in Group G of the World Cup 2026 at SoFi Stadium on Monday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Iran as the most likely winner of the Iran vs. New Zealand game.

Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Iran vs. New Zealand prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Iran and New Zealand, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 55.0% chance of Iran winning, a 19.4% chance for New Zealand, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58.3% chance of staying under, with a 56.6% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Iran holds a 35.3% probability to win without conceding, with New Zealand given a 11.7% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Iran to win or draw at 80.6%.

New Zealand vs. Iran odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Iran	New Zealand	Draw
-120	+380	+245

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+152	-175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Iran vs. New Zealand picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Iran @ -120 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +152 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: New Zealand @ +550 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Iran or New Zealand @ -310 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +125 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Iran vs. New Zealand: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Iran win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Iran 1-0 New Zealand	14.8%
Iran 1-1 New Zealand	11.8%
Iran 2-0 New Zealand	11.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.4% chance of both Iran and New Zealand finding the net and a 56.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Iran vs. New Zealand player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Iran-New Zealand:

Iran

• Mehdi Taremi: 30.3% probability
• Mohammad Mohebi: 20.9% probability
• Ramin Rezaeian: 15.2% probability
• Shahriyar Moghanlou: 14.3% probability
• Saman Ghoddos: 9.4% probability

New Zealand

• Chris Wood: 17.8% probability
• Elijah Just: 9.0% probability
• Sarpreet Singh: 8.8% probability
• Callum McCowatt: 8.0% probability
• Liberato Cacace: 5.3% probability

Iran vs. New Zealand game-day updates and essential details

Monday's FIFA World Cup game between Iran and New Zealand at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Iran vs. New Zealand
• Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Iran has a 55.0% win probability on Monday, New Zealand has a 19.4% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.