Brazil vs. Norway prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 16]

Brazil and Norway are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the World Cup 2026 at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Brazil as the most likely winner of the Brazil vs. Norway game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Brazil vs. Norway prediction: Who will win and advance to the Quarter-Finals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Brazil and Norway, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 56.1% chance of Brazil winning, a 22.0% chance for Norway, and a 21.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60.0% chance of going over, with a 58.6% chance that both teams find the net. In the win to nil market, Brazil holds a 27.2% probability to win without conceding, with Norway given a 9.7% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is a win for either Brazil or Norway at 78.1%.

A quick reminder: standard World Cup markets apply to 90 minutes of regulation play only, excluding extra time unless stated otherwise. This differs from sports like the NBA, where overtime is typically included.

Norway vs. Brazil odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Brazil	Norway	Draw
-135	+380	+275

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-135	+118

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Brazil vs. Norway picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Norway @ +380 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -135 via DraftKings
• Win to Nil: Norway @ +675 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Brazil or Norway @ -370 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ +130 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Brazil vs. Norway: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Brazil 1-1 Norway	10.1%
Brazil 2-1 Norway	9.9%
Brazil 1-0 Norway	8.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 41.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Brazil vs. Norway player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Brazil-Norway:

Brazil

• Vinicius Junior: 29.7% probability
• Matheus Cunha: 26.3% probability
• Rayan : 21.9% probability
• Gabriel Martinelli: 18.6% probability
• Casemiro : 10.9% probability

Norway

• Erling Haaland: 29.4% probability
• Alexander Sorloth: 15.6% probability
• Antonio Nusa: 11.1% probability
• Martin Odegaard: 7.1% probability
• Patrick Berg: 5.7% probability

Brazil vs. Norway game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Norway at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Brazil vs. Norway
• Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Brazil has a 56.1% win probability on Sunday, Norway has a 22.0% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.