Iraq vs. Norway prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Iraq and Norway are scheduled to meet in the group stage of the World Cup 2026 at Gillette Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Norway as the most likely winner of the Iraq vs. Norway game.

Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Iraq vs. Norway prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 game between Iraq and Norway, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests an 8.6% chance of Iraq winning, a 75.2% chance for Norway, and a 16.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 3.5-goal over/under has a 65.3% chance of staying under, with a 57.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Norway holds a 47.3% probability to win without conceding, with Iraq given a 4.6% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Norway to win or draw at 91.4%.

Norway vs. Iraq odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Iraq	Norway	Draw
+1300	-425	+575

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
+155	-185

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Iraq vs. Norway picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Iraq @ +1300 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -185 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Iraq @ +1600 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Iraq or Draw @ +360 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +140 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Iraq to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Iraq vs. Norway: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Norway win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Iraq 0-2 Norway	13.8%
Iraq 0-1 Norway	11.9%
Iraq 0-3 Norway	10.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 42.9% chance of both Iraq and Norway finding the net and a 57.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Iraq vs. Norway player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Iraq-Norway:

Iraq

• Aymen Hussein: 12.9% probability
• Ali Hamadi: 9.8% probability
• Ali Jasim: 6.8% probability
• Ibrahim Bayesh: 5.4% probability
• Zaid Dulaimi: 4.2% probability

Norway

• Erling Haaland: 54.5% probability
• Alexander Sorloth: 31.9% probability
• Antonio Nusa: 23.3% probability
• Martin Odegaard: 16.1% probability
• Julian Ryerson: 10.7% probability

Iraq vs. Norway game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Iraq and Norway at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Iraq vs. Norway
• Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Iraq has an 8.6% win probability on Tuesday, Norway has a 75.2% win probability, and there is a 16.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.