Türkiye vs. Paraguay prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Turkey will square off with Paraguay in Group D of the World Cup 2026 at Levi's Stadium on Friday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model projects Türkiye as the most likely winner of the Turkey vs. Paraguay game.

Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Turkey vs. Paraguay prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's World Cup 2026 game between Turkey and Paraguay, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 49.0% chance of Turkey winning, a 25.4% chance for Paraguay, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.7% chance of staying under, with a 50.5% likelihood that both teams score. In the win to nil market, Türkiye holds a 28.0% probability to win without conceding, with Paraguay given a 13.8% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Türkiye to win or draw at 74.6%.

Paraguay vs. Türkiye odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Turkey	Paraguay	Draw
+110	+280	+235

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+112	-135

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Turkey vs. Paraguay picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Türkiye @ +110 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +112 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Türkiye @ +220 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Türkiye or Paraguay @ -300 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -104 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Türkiye to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Türkiye's odds also provide the best value for bettors.

Turkey vs. Paraguay: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Türkiye 1-1 Paraguay	12.2%
Türkiye 1-0 Paraguay	11.8%
Türkiye 2-1 Paraguay	9.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 49.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Turkey vs. Paraguay player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Türkiye-Paraguay:

Turkey

• Kerem Akturkoglu: 22.6% probability
• Kenan Yildiz: 19.6% probability
• Arda Guler: 19.0% probability
• Yunus Akgun: 16.7% probability
• Hakan Calhanoglu: 13.1% probability

Paraguay

• Isidro Pitta: 17.0% probability
• Julio Enciso: 15.4% probability
• Miguel Almiron: 12.1% probability
• Diego Gomez: 10.0% probability
• Matias Galarza: 7.2% probability

Türkiye vs. Paraguay game-day updates and essential details

Friday's soccer World Cup matchup between Turkey and Paraguay at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Turkey vs. Paraguay
• Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Levi's Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Turkey has a 49.0% win probability on Friday, Paraguay has a 25.4% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.