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Read Article Norway vs. Senegal prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Norway vs Senegal predictions for World Cup 2026 Monday.
Norway and Senegal will lock horns in Group I of the World Cup 2026 at MetLife Stadium on Monday, with kickoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects Norway as the most likely winner of the Norway vs. Senegal game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Norway vs. Senegal prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Norway and Senegal, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 40.8% chance of Norway winning, a 33.6% chance for Senegal, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51.0% chance of going over, with a 55.0% probability that both teams score. In the win to nil market, Norway holds a 21.2% probability to win without conceding, with Senegal given a 17.2% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is a win for either Norway or Senegal at 74.4%.
Senegal vs. Norway odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Norway | Senegal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +140 | +195 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | +100 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Norway vs. Senegal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Norway @ +140 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
- Win to Nil: Norway @ +320 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Norway or Senegal @ -310 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ +126 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Norway to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Norway vs. Senegal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Norway 1-1 Senegal | 12.2% |
| Norway 1-0 Senegal | 9.5% |
| Norway 2-1 Senegal | 8.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Norway vs. Senegal player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Norway-Senegal:
Norway
- Erling Haaland: 37.6% probability
- Alexander Sorloth: 19.8% probability
- Antonio Nusa: 14.6% probability
- Martin Odegaard: 9.3% probability
- Fredrik Aursnes: 6.8% probability
Senegal
- Nicolas Jackson: 21.2% probability
- Sadio Mane: 19.5% probability
- Ismaila Sarr: 15.4% probability
- Pape Gueye: 10.0% probability
- Lamine Camara: 9.6% probability
Norway vs. Senegal game-day updates and essential details
Monday's FIFA World Cup game between Norway and Senegal at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Norway vs. Senegal
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Norway has a 40.8% win probability on Monday, Senegal has a 33.6% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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