Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Sweden and Tunisia are scheduled to meet in Group F of the World Cup 2026 at Estadio BBVA on Sunday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Sweden as the most likely winner of the Sweden vs. Tunisia game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Sweden and Tunisia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 51.4% chance of Sweden winning, a 23.4% chance for Tunisia, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.7% chance of staying under, with a 50.3% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Sweden holds a 29.8% probability to win without conceding, with Tunisia given a 12.8% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Sweden to win or draw at 76.6%.

Tunisia vs. Sweden odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Sweden	Tunisia	Draw
-110	+370	+240

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+125	-145

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sweden vs. Tunisia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tunisia @ +370 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +125 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Tunisia @ +550 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Sweden or Tunisia @ -320 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +105 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Sweden win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Sweden 1-0 Tunisia	12.2%
Sweden 1-1 Tunisia	12%
Sweden 2-0 Tunisia	9.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.7% chance of both Sweden and Tunisia finding the net and a 50.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Sweden vs. Tunisia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Sweden-Tunisia:

Sweden

• Viktor Gyokeres: 29.6% probability
• Alexander Isak: 27.0% probability
• Benjamin Nygren: 18.2% probability
• Alexander Bernhardsson: 13.1% probability
• Yasin Ayari: 9.6% probability

Tunisia

• Elias Saad: 14.9% probability
• Anis Slimane: 13.2% probability
• Hannibal : 9.3% probability
• Ali Abdi: 9.2% probability
• Rani Khedira: 5.8% probability

Sweden vs. Tunisia game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's soccer World Cup game between Sweden and Tunisia at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sweden vs. Tunisia
• Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio BBVA

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sweden has a 51.4% win probability on Sunday, Tunisia has a 23.4% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.