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Read Article Australia vs. Türkiye prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Australia vs Türkiye predictions for World Cup 2026 Sunday.
Australia will take on Turkey in Group D of the World Cup 2026 at BC Place on Sunday, starting at 12:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Türkiye as the most likely winner of the Australia vs. Turkey game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Australia vs. Turkey prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Australia and Turkey, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 21.2% chance of Australia winning, a 54.7% chance for Turkey, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 50.9% chance of staying under, with a 50-50 chance of both teams scoring. In the win to nil market, Türkiye holds a 31.5% probability to win without conceding, with Australia at 11.4%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Türkiye to win or draw at 78.8%.
Türkiye vs. Australia odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Australia | Turkey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +460 | -145 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +110 | -130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Australia vs. Turkey picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Australia @ +460 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +110 via BetMGM
- Win to Nil: Australia @ +650 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Australia or Draw @ +115 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +105 via BetMGM
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Australia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Australia's odds provide the best value right now.
Australia vs. Turkey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Türkiye win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Australia 0-1 Türkiye | 12.1% |
| Australia 1-1 Türkiye | 11.5% |
| Australia 0-2 Türkiye | 10.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project an even 50-50 chance of the yes and no markets hitting. With that in mind, we recommend searching for the best available odds before placing a bet.
Australia vs. Turkey player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Australia-Türkiye:
Australia
- Mohamed Toure: 15.7% probability
- Nestory Irankunda: 12.3% probability
- Jacob Italiano: 8.8% probability
- Conor Metcalfe: 7.8% probability
- Harry Souttar: 7.0% probability
Turkey
- Kerem Akturkoglu: 26.4% probability
- Arda Guler: 22.7% probability
- Baris Yilmaz: 21.1% probability
- Hakan Calhanoglu: 17.0% probability
- Orkun Kokcu: 14.8% probability
Australia vs. Türkiye game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's FIFA World Cup action between Australia and Turkey at BC Place is scheduled to begin at 12:00 AM ET.
- Who: Australia vs. Turkey
- Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: BC Place
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Australia has a 21.2% win probability on Sunday, Turkey has a 54.7% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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