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Read Article Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay predictions for World Cup 2026 Monday.
Saudi Arabia and Uruguay will lock horns in Group H of the World Cup 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, with kickoff at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model projects Uruguay as the most likely winner of the Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's World Cup 2026 game between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates an 11.2% chance of Saudi Arabia winning, a 67.3% chance for Uruguay, and a 21.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.2% chance of staying under, with a 63.3% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Uruguay holds a 47.0% probability to win without conceding, with Saudi Arabia at 7.1%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Uruguay to win or draw at 88.8%.
Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Saudi Arabia | Uruguay | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +700 | -210 | +330 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +118 | -135 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Uruguay @ -210 via BetMGM
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -135 via BetMGM
- Win to Nil: Uruguay @ +105 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Uruguay or Draw @ -1000 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -165 via DraftKings
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Uruguay to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Uruguay win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay | 16.6% |
| Saudi Arabia 0-2 Uruguay | 15% |
| Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay | 9.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 36.7% chance of both Saudi Arabia and Uruguay finding the net and a 63.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Saudi Arabia-Uruguay:
Saudi Arabia
- Salem Al-Dawsari: 12.3% probability
- Firas Buraikan: 12.2% probability
- Musab Al-Juwayr: 7.7% probability
- Mohamed Kanno: 4.9% probability
- Mohammed Abu Al Shamat: 4.6% probability
Uruguay
- Darwin Nunez: 35.0% probability
- Federico Vinas: 28.1% probability
- Federico Valverde: 18.6% probability
- Maxi Araujo: 18.1% probability
- Rodrigo Bentancur: 11.3% probability
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay game-day updates and essential details
Monday's soccer World Cup matchup between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Saudi Arabia has an 11.2% win probability on Monday, Uruguay has a 67.3% win probability, and there is a 21.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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