World Cup player props today: Independence Day round of 16 props include Andres Cubas [7/4/2026]

Dimers' World Cup props are live for Independence Day, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Andres Cubas, Diego Gomez and Juan Jose Caceres.

Our World Cup player props model runs continuously, analyzing every international soccer matchup, including Morocco vs. Canada and France vs. Paraguay, to surface the best World Cup player prop bets across the market.

List of World Cup prop picks for Saturday, 7/4 [Round of 16]

Sourced from 40+ World Cup props on site today, the picks below highlight where the numbers are off. With the expanded 48-team format creating more variance on the pitch, these calculations isolate specific player outcomes—like shots and shots on target—to find true value.

Andres Cubas over 0.5 shots (+350)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 26.3%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Paraguay's Andres Cubas over 0.5 shots. A probability of 26.3% gives this play an edge of 4.1% at +350 odds.

Diego Gomez over 2.5 shots (+1200)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 10.6%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

Diego Gomez’s shots prop shows a 10.6% probability and an 2.9% edge at +1200 odds, according to our model.

Juan Jose Caceres over 1.5 shots (+1800)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 8.3%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Juan Jose Caceres over 1.5 shots, with simulations showing an 8.3% probability and a 3.1% edge at +1800.

Matias Galarza over 2.5 shots (+1400)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 8.0%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Matias Galarza over 2.5 shots, with a 8.0% probability and an edge of 1.3% at +1400 odds.

Gustavo Gomez over 1.5 shots (+1400)

• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 7.8%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Gustavo Gomez over 1.5 shots for Paraguay, showing an edge of 1.1% at +1400 odds.

Dayot Upamecano anytime goal scorer (+1500)

• Edge: 0.8%
• Probability: 7.0%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

Dayot Upamecano’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 0.8% at +1500 odds, supported by a 7.0% probability according to our model.

William Saliba anytime goal scorer (+1500)

• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 6.9%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on William Saliba anytime goal scorer for France, with a 6.9% probability and a 0.7% edge at +1500 odds.

Miguel Almiron over 3.5 shots (+1500)

• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 6.6%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Miguel Almiron over 3.5 shots, supported by a 6.6% probability at +1500 odds and an edge of 0.4%.

Junior Alonso over 1.5 shots (+2000)

• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 6.4%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

A 1.6% edge on the Shots 3.5 shots line makes Junior Alonso a value play in , supported by a 6.4% probability at +2000 odds.

Gustavo Velazquez over 1.5 shots (+2000)

• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 6.4%
• Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Gustavo Velazquez over 1.5 shots here, with a 6.4% probability and 1.6% edge at +2000 odds.

World Cup player prop summary: Saturday, July 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:54PM ET:

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Conclusion

For July 4, 2026, our World Cup prop bets feature players such as Andres Cubas, Diego Gomez and Juan Jose Caceres. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.