Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

New Mexico is favored to beat Arkansas-Little Rock at The Pit on Tuesday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico prediction gives the Trojans a 97.2% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 157.5 points.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico key predictions

• Predicted score: New Mexico 90-66 Arkansas-Little Rock
• New Mexico win probability: 97.2%
• Arkansas-Little Rock win probability: 2.8%
• New Mexico -23.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Under 157.5 points: 51.5% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Arkansas-Little Rock moneyline: +2400 (FanDuel)
• New Mexico moneyline: -5000 (DraftKings)
• Arkansas-Little Rock +23.5: -106 (BetRivers)
• New Mexico -23.5: -108 (DraftKings)
• Over 157.5 points: -107 (BetRivers)
• Under 157.5 points: -105 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico pick: Under 157.5 (-105)

Our model makes New Mexico the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 157.5 total points at -105 on FanDuel.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 51.5%.

That's a 0.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Arkansas-Little Rock vs. New Mexico game details

• Matchup: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans vs. New Mexico Lobos
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: The Pit
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.