Georgia State vs. Fresno State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

Fresno State is favored to beat Georgia State at Save Mart Center on Tuesday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Georgia State vs. Fresno State prediction gives the Panthers a 70.6% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the over 146.5 points.

Georgia State vs. Fresno State key predictions

• Predicted score: Fresno State 77-71 Georgia State
• Fresno State win probability: 70.6%
• Georgia State win probability: 29.4%
• Georgia State +5.5 spread: 50.8% cover probability
• Over 146.5 points: 53.9% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Georgia State vs. Fresno State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Georgia State moneyline: +215 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Fresno State moneyline: -240 (FanDuel)
• Georgia State +5.5: -102 (BetMGM)
• Fresno State -5.5: -114 (FanDuel)
• Over 146.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)
• Under 146.5 points: -114 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Georgia State vs. Fresno State pick: Over 146.5 (-105)

Our model makes Fresno State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 146.5 total points at -105 on BetMGM.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 53.9%.

That's a 2.7% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Georgia State vs. Fresno State game details

• Matchup: Georgia State Panthers vs. Fresno State
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Save Mart Center
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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