Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Baylor prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Baylor is favored to beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Foster Pavilion on Friday (5:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Baylor prediction gives the Golden Lions a 98.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Arkansas-Pine Bluff to cover at +37.5.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Baylor key predictions

• Predicted score: Baylor 95-65 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
• Baylor win probability: 98.6%
• Arkansas-Pine Bluff win probability: 1.4%
• Arkansas-Pine Bluff +37.5 spread: 59.0% cover probability
• Under 160.5 points: 50.8% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Baylor odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Arkansas-Pine Bluff moneyline: +8000 (FanDuel)
• Baylor moneyline: -10000 (BetMGM)
• Arkansas-Pine Bluff +37.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Baylor -37.5: -109 (BetRivers)
• Over 160.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)
• Under 160.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Baylor pick: Arkansas-Pine Bluff +37.5 (-105)

Our model makes Baylor the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Bears to cover the +37.5 spread at -105 on BetMGM.

Those odds give Arkansas-Pine Bluff an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 59.0%.

That's a 7.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Baylor game details

• Matchup: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Baylor Bears
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET
• Venue: Foster Pavilion

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.