Florida vs. Florida State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 10, 2026

Florida is favored to beat Florida State at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center on Tuesday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Florida vs. Florida State prediction gives the Gators a 76.2% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Florida State to cover at +9.5.

Florida vs. Florida State key predictions

• Predicted score: Florida 83-75 Florida State
• Florida win probability: 76.2%
• Florida State win probability: 23.8%
• Florida State +9.5 spread: 57.3% cover probability
• Under 164.5 points: 53.8% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Florida vs. Florida State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Florida moneyline: -400 (BetMGM)
• Florida State moneyline: +370 (DraftKings)
• Florida -9.5: -102 (FanDuel)
• Florida State +9.5: -109 (BetRivers)
• Over 164.5 points: -105 (DraftKings)
• Under 164.5 points: -108 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Florida vs. Florida State pick: Florida State +9.5 (-109)

Our model makes Florida the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Seminoles to cover the +9.5 spread at -109 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Florida State an implied cover probability of 52.2%, while our model puts it at 57.3%.

That's a 5.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Florida vs. Florida State game details

• Matchup: Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles
• Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.