Jacksonville State vs. South Alabama prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

South Alabama is favored to beat Jacksonville State at Mitchell Center on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Jacksonville State vs. South Alabama prediction gives South Alabama a 66.5% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Jacksonville State to cover at +5.5.

Jacksonville State vs. South Alabama key predictions

• Predicted score: South Alabama 73-68 Jacksonville State
• South Alabama win probability: 66.5%
• Jacksonville State win probability: 33.5%
• Jacksonville State +5.5 spread: 58.0% cover probability
• Under 141.5 points: 52.1% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Jacksonville State vs. South Alabama odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Jacksonville State moneyline: +180 (BetRivers)
• South Alabama moneyline: -205 (DraftKings)
• Jacksonville State +5.5: -112 (DraftKings)
• South Alabama -5.5: +102 (BetRivers)
• Over 141.5 points: -115 (DraftKings)
• Under 141.5 points: -105 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Jacksonville State vs. South Alabama pick: Jacksonville State +5.5 (-112)

Our model makes South Alabama the likelier winner, but our best value bet is Jacksonville State to cover the +5.5 spread at -112 on DraftKings.

Those odds give Jacksonville State an implied cover probability of 52.8%, while our model puts it at 58.0%.

That's a 5.2% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Jacksonville State vs. South Alabama game details

• Matchup: Jacksonville State vs. South Alabama Jaguars
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Mitchell Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.