Tennessee State vs. Murray State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

Murray State is favored to beat Tennessee State at Sanford Pentagon on Monday (11:30 AM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Tennessee State vs. Murray State prediction gives Murray State an 85.1% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Murray State to cover at -10.5, too.

This matchup is part of the Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon, featuring eight games between 16 mid-major programs across Rock Hill, South Carolina, and Sioux Falls, South Dakota.

Tennessee State vs. Murray State key predictions

• Predicted score: Murray State 87-75 Tennessee State
• Murray State win probability: 85.1%
• Tennessee State win probability: 14.9%
• Murray State -10.5 spread: 56.4% cover probability
• Under 165 points: 53.4% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Tennessee State vs. Murray State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Tennessee State moneyline: +440 (FanDuel)
• Murray State moneyline: -530 (BetRivers)
• Tennessee State +10.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Murray State -10.5: -106 (BetRivers)
• Over 165 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 165 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Tennessee State vs. Murray State pick: Murray State -10.5 (-106)

Our model makes Murray State the likelier winner, and our best value bet is Murray State to cover the -10.5 spread at -106 on BetRivers, too.

Those odds give Murray State an implied cover probability of 51.5%, while our model puts it at 56.4%.

That's a 4.9% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Tennessee State vs. Murray State game details

• Matchup: Tennessee State Tigers vs. Murray State Racers
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 11:30 AM ET
• Venue: Sanford Pentagon

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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