Virginia Military vs. SMU prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

SMU is favored to beat Virginia Military at Moody Coliseum on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Virginia Military vs. SMU prediction gives SMU a 97.0% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 159.5 points.

Virginia Military vs. SMU key predictions

• Predicted score: SMU 90-67 Virginia Military
• SMU win probability: 97.0%
• Virginia Military win probability: 3.0%
• Virginia Military +24.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Under 159.5 points: 52.3% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Virginia Military vs. SMU odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Virginia Military moneyline: +3000 (FanDuel)
• SMU moneyline: -8000 (DraftKings)
• Virginia Military +24.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• SMU -24.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 159.5 points: -115 (FanDuel)
• Under 159.5 points: -105 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Virginia Military vs. SMU pick: Under 159.5 (-105)

Our model makes SMU the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 159.5 total points at -105 on FanDuel.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 52.3%.

That's a 1.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Virginia Military vs. SMU game details

• Matchup: Virginia Military vs. SMU Mustangs
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Moody Coliseum

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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