Alabama State vs. Texas Southern prediction: Why Alabama State is favored to win in college football Week 10 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Alabama State vs. Texas Southern, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Alabama State a 75.7% chance of defeating Texas Southern. Our predicted final score has Alabama State winning 32-23. According to our model, Texas Southern (+9.5) has a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 57.5-point over/under has a 54.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Alabama State -9.5 (+106) / Texas Southern +9.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Alabama State -292, Texas Southern +280
• Total: Over/Under 57.5 (+144/-156)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Alabama State -9.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Alabama State @ 75¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 57.5 @ 41¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 57.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Texas Southern and Alabama State at W.W. Thorne Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Alabama State vs. Texas Southern
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
• Venue: W.W. Thorne Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Alabama State, with a 75.7% win probability, will likely beat Texas Southern in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.