Hawaii vs. Texas-El Paso prediction: Why Hawaii is favored to win in college football Week 10 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Hawaii vs. Texas-El Paso, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Hawaii a 72.4% chance of defeating Texas-El Paso. Our predicted final score has Hawaii winning 28-21. According to our model, Texas-El Paso (+8.5) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 50.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Hawaii -8.5 (-108) / Texas-El Paso +8.5 (-109)
• Moneyline: Hawaii -292, Texas-El Paso +277
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (+111/-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +8.5 @ -109 via bet365
• Moneyline: Texas-El Paso @ 26¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 49.5 @ 48¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Texas-El Paso and Hawaii at Sun Bowl is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Hawaii vs. Texas-El Paso
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30 PM PT
• Venue: Sun Bowl

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Conclusion

We predict Hawaii, with a 72.4% win probability, will likely beat Texas-El Paso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.