Alabama State vs. Troy prediction: Why Troy is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Alabama State vs. Troy, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Troy a 91.0% chance of beating Alabama State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 35-15. According to our model, Alabama State (+22.5) has a 56.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 50.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Alabama State +22.5 (-108) / Troy -22.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Alabama State +1050, Troy -1700
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Alabama State +22.5 @ -108 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Alabama State @ +1050 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama State +22.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Troy and Alabama State at Veterans Memorial Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Alabama State vs. Troy
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Alabama State vs. Troy predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below

Conclusion

We predict Troy, with a 91.0% win probability, will likely beat Alabama State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.