Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word prediction: Why Incarnate Word is favored to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Incarnate Word a 98.2% chance of defeating Northwestern State. Our predicted final score has Incarnate Word winning 44-14. According to our model, Northwestern State (+31.5) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 60.5-point over/under has a 52.2% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Northwestern State +31.5 (-110) / Incarnate Word -31.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: Northwestern State +2400, Incarnate Word -2757
• Total: Over/Under 60.5 (-106/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Northwestern State +31.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Incarnate Word @ 96¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 60.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 60.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Incarnate Word and Northwestern State at Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00 AM PT
• Venue: Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Incarnate Word, with a 98.2% win probability, will likely beat Northwestern State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.