Murray State vs. Illinois State prediction: Why Illinois State is favored to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Murray State vs. Illinois State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Illinois State a 98.8% chance of beating Murray State. Our predicted final score has Illinois State winning 41-13. According to our model, Illinois State (-28.5) has a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 51.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Murray State +28.5 (+102) / Illinois State -28.5 (-150)
• Moneyline: Murray State +2281, Illinois State -2930
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-113/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Murray State +28.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Illinois State @ 97¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 55.5 @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Illinois State and Murray State at Hancock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Murray State vs. Illinois State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00 AM PT
• Venue: Hancock Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Illinois State, with a 98.8% win probability, will likely beat Murray State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.