Ball State vs. Ohio State prediction: Ohio State favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 100.0% win probability for Ohio State at Ohio Stadium.

Ohio State and Ball State will meet in Week 1 college football action at Ohio Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 12:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Ohio State as the most likely winner in this Ball State vs. Ohio State prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Ball State vs. Ohio State prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives Ohio State a 100.0% chance of beating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Ohio State winning 52-2.
According to our model, Ball State (+50.5) has a 51.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 54.2% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Ball State +50.5 (-108) / Ohio State -50.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Ball State , Ohio State
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Under @ -109 via BetRivers
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is under 56.5 points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Ohio State and Ball State at Ohio Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Ball State vs. Ohio State
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Ohio Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Ball State vs. Ohio State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Ohio State, with a 100.0% win probability, will likely beat Ball State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




