Sep 6, 2026
College football picks today: Week 1 Sunday best bets include Texas Southern vs. Prairie View play [9/6/2026]
Read Article Baylor vs. Auburn prediction: Why Auburn is favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 58.6% win probability for Auburn at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Auburn will square off with Baylor in Week 1 college football action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Auburn as the most likely winner in this Baylor vs. Auburn prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Baylor vs. Auburn prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Baylor vs. Auburn, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Auburn a 58.6% chance of defeating Baylor. Our predicted final score has Auburn winning 30-26.
According to our model, Baylor (+7.5) has a 63.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 59.5 points has a 57.7% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Baylor +7.5 (-115) / Auburn -7.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Baylor +240, Auburn -250
- Total: Over/Under 59.5 (-105/-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Baylor +7.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Baylor @ +240 via BetMGM
- Total: Under 59.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Baylor to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Auburn and Baylor at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Baylor vs. Auburn
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Baylor vs. Auburn predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below
Conclusion
We predict Auburn, with a 58.6% win probability, will likely beat Baylor in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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