College football picks today: Week 7 Saturday best bets include Montana State vs. Eastern Washington play [10/17/2026]

Eastern Washington +21.5 (-120)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Matchup: Montana State vs. Eastern Washington (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Eastern Washington +21.5 at 55¢ odds. A 60.7% probability produces an edge of 6.2%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Arkansas State -7.5 (+135)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 47%
• Matchup: Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss (7:00PM ET)

Arkansas State -7.5 carries a 4.5% edge and a probability of 47% at 43¢ odds, according to our model.

Fresno State vs. San Diego State Over 44.5 points (54¢)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Fresno State vs. San Diego State (10:30PM ET)

Fresno State vs. San Diego State Over 44.5 points at 54¢ odds shows a 4.4% edge, supported by a 58.4% probability in simulations.

Wisconsin vs. UCLA over 42.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Matchup: Wisconsin vs. UCLA (7:30PM ET)

A 4.2% edge and 56.6% probability make Wisconsin vs. UCLA over 42.5 points a value play in the Wisconsin vs. UCLA matchup, per our model.

Arkansas State ML (-203)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 71.2%
• Matchup: Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss (7:00PM ET)

Arkansas State ML at 67¢ presents a 4.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 71.2%.

North Alabama +3.5 (-106)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Abilene Christian vs. North Alabama (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on North Alabama +3.5 at 51¢, supported by an edge of 3.8%.

Utah vs. Colorado Over 52.5 points (+144)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 44%
• Matchup: Utah vs. Colorado (10:15PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Utah vs. Colorado Over 52.5 points at 41¢. A 44% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

San Diego State +8.5 (-127)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Matchup: Fresno State vs. San Diego State (10:30PM ET)

A 2.9% edge on a 58.9% probability makes San Diego State +8.5 at 56¢a solid value play in today's Fresno State vs. San Diego State matchup.

North Dakota State ML (-545)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 87.4%
• Matchup: Nevada vs. North Dakota State (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on North Dakota State to win at 85¢. A 87.4% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making North Dakota State the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

East Texas A&M vs. Houston Christian Over 46.5 points (-117)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Utah vs. Colorado (7:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, East Texas A&M vs. Houston Christian Over 46.5 points at 54¢ shows a 56.9% probability and a 2.9% edge.

NCAAF best bets summary: Saturday, 10/17/2026

As of 6:33PM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Florida State vs. Miami Florida (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• TCU vs. Baylor (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Nevada vs. North Dakota State (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Kent State vs. South Florida (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Portland State vs. Northern Arizona (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Mercer vs. Samford (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Central Arkansas vs. Tarleton State (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• East Texas A&M vs. Houston Christian (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

College football offer for Week 7

Make the most of the picks in this article, including Eastern Washington +21.5, with the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for October 17, 2026, featuring plays such as Eastern Washington +21.5 vs. Montana State and Arkansas State -7.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.