College football picks today: Week 8 Friday best bets include Air Force vs. Wyoming play [10/23/2026]

Air Force vs. Wyoming Over 44.5 points (-118)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Air Force vs. Wyoming (9:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 44.5 points in Air Force vs. Wyoming at -118 odds. A 57.1% probability produces an edge of 2.9%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Duke vs. Virginia Over 48.5 points (+115)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 49.3%
• Matchup: Duke vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET)

Duke vs. Virginia over 48.5 points carries a 2.8% edge and a probability of 49.3% at 46¢ odds, according to our model.

Virginia ML (55¢)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Duke vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET)

Virginia ML at 55¢ odds shows a 2.5% edge, supported by a 57.5% probability in simulations.

North Carolina State ML (-239)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 72.9%
• Matchup: North Carolina State vs. Stanford (10:30PM ET)

A 2.4% edge and 72.9% probability makes North Carolina State at the moneyline a value play in the North Carolina State vs. Stanford matchup, per our model.

Connecticut ML (-567)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 87.3%
• Matchup: Massachusetts vs. Connecticut (7:00PM ET)

Connecticut ML at 85¢ presents a 2.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 87.3%.

Delaware State ML (-186)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Matchup: North Carolina Central vs. Delaware State (5:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Delaware State to win at 65¢, supported by an edge of 2.3%.

Virginia -1.5 (-106)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Duke vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Virginia -1.5 at 51¢. A 53.7% probability produces a 2.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Wyoming +5.5 (+111)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Matchup: Air Force vs. Wyoming (9:00PM ET)

A 2.2% edge on a 49.7% probability makes Wyoming +5.5 at 48¢a solid value play in today's Air Force vs. Wyoming matchup.

NCAAF best bets summary: Friday, 10/23/2026

As of 1:33AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• North Carolina Central vs. Delaware State (5:00PM ET, Friday)
• Duke vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Massachusetts vs. Connecticut (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Yale vs. Pennsylvania (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Army vs. Tulsa (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Air Force vs. Wyoming (9:00PM ET, Friday)
• North Carolina State vs. Stanford (10:30PM ET, Friday)

College football offer for Week 8

Make the most of the picks in this article, including Over 44.5 points, with the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for October 23, 2026, featuring plays such as over 44.5 points in the Air Force vs. Wyoming matchup and over 48.5 points in the Duke vs. Virginia matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.