Duquesne vs. Air Force prediction: Why Air Force is favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 98.0% win probability for Air Force at Falcon Stadium.

Air Force and Duquesne will meet in Week 1 college football action at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Air Force as the most likely winner in this Duquesne vs. Air Force prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Duquesne vs. Air Force prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives Air Force a 98.0% chance of beating Duquesne. Our predicted final score has Air Force winning 41-10.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Duquesne and Air Force each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 55.5 points has a 57.5% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Duquesne +31.5 (-110) / Air Force -31.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Duquesne +3000, Air Force -6502
- Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-106/-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Air Force -31.5 @ -105 via bet365
- Moneyline: Air Force @ -6502 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 55.5 @ -110 via bet365
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Air Force and Duquesne at Falcon Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Duquesne vs. Air Force
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Falcon Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Duquesne vs. Air Force predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Air Force, with a 98.0% win probability, will likely beat Duquesne in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



