Eastern Kentucky vs. Tarleton State prediction: Why Tarleton State is favored to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Eastern Kentucky vs. Tarleton State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Tarleton State a 95.4% chance of beating Eastern Kentucky. Our predicted final score has Tarleton State winning 41-16. According to our model, Eastern Kentucky (+26.5) has a 53.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 58.5-point over/under has a 51.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Eastern Kentucky +26.5 (-122) / Tarleton State -26.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Eastern Kentucky +1438, Tarleton State -1718
• Total: Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Eastern Kentucky +26.5 @ 55¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Tarleton State @ 95¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 58.5 @ 52¢ via Novig

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Tarleton State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Tarleton State and Eastern Kentucky at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Eastern Kentucky vs. Tarleton State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Tarleton State, with a 95.4% win probability, will likely beat Eastern Kentucky in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.