Idaho State vs. Utah State prediction: Utah State favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]

Utah State will square off with Idaho State in Week 1 college football action at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model projects Utah State as the most likely winner in this Idaho State vs. Utah State prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

Idaho State vs. Utah State prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Idaho State vs. Utah State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Utah State an 82.6% chance of defeating Idaho State. Our predicted final score has Utah State winning 36-20.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Idaho State and Utah State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 59.5-point over/under has a 57.7% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Idaho State +15.5 (-105) / Utah State -15.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: Idaho State +550, Utah State -590
• Total: Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Idaho State +15.5 @ -105 via bet365
• Moneyline: Idaho State @ +550 via ESPN BET
• Total: Under 59.5 @ -113 via BetRivers

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 59.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Utah State and Idaho State at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Idaho State vs. Utah State
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Utah State, with an 82.6% win probability, will likely beat Idaho State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.