Lindenwood vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 89.5% win probability for Missouri State at Robert W. Plaster Stadium.

Missouri State will face Lindenwood in Week 2 college football action at Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Missouri State as the most likely winner in this Lindenwood vs. Missouri State prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Lindenwood vs. Missouri State prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives Missouri State an 89.5% chance of defeating Lindenwood. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 34-18. According to our model, Lindenwood (+17) has a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 52.0% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Lindenwood +17 (-110) / Missouri State -17 (-113)
- Moneyline: Lindenwood +750, Missouri State -850
- Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-108/-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Lindenwood +17 @ -110 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Missouri State @ -850 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 52.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 52.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Missouri State and Lindenwood at Robert W. Plaster Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Lindenwood vs. Missouri State
- Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Robert W. Plaster Stadium
College football Week 2 promos
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Conclusion
We predict Missouri State, with an 89.5% win probability, will likely beat Lindenwood in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.




