Memphis vs. Boise State prediction favors Boise State to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 75.7% win probability for Boise State at Albertsons Stadium.

Memphis takes on Boise State in College Football action.
Memphis vs. Boise State college football gameday prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

Boise State will face Memphis in Week 2 college football action at Albertsons Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 6:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model projects Boise State as the most likely winner in this Memphis vs. Boise State prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

Memphis vs. Boise State prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Memphis vs. Boise State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Boise State a 75.7% chance of defeating Memphis. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 32-23. According to our model, Memphis (+9.5) has a 50.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 56.4% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Memphis +9.5 (-110) / Boise State -9.5 (-107)
  • Moneyline: Memphis +287, Boise State -360
  • Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-116/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Memphis +9.5 @ -110 via bet365
  • Moneyline: Memphis @ +287 via DraftKings
  • Total: Over 53.5 @ -116 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 53.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Boise State and Memphis at Albertsons Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Memphis vs. Boise State
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
  • Venue: Albertsons Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Memphis vs. Boise State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:


Conclusion

We predict Boise State, with a 75.7% win probability, will likely beat Memphis in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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