Montana State vs. Idaho State prediction: Why Montana State is favored to win in college football Week 10 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 84.9% win probability for Montana State at ICCU Dome.

Idaho State will square off with the favored Montana State in Week 10 college football action at ICCU Dome on Saturday, beginning at 6:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Montana State as the most likely winner in this Montana State vs. Idaho State prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Montana State vs. Idaho State prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives Montana State an 84.9% chance of beating Idaho State. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 36-23. According to our model, Idaho State (+14.5) has a 54.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 60.5-point over/under has a 52.1% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Montana State -14.5 (-117) / Idaho State +14.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Montana State -488, Idaho State +471
- Total: Over/Under 60.5 (-107/-112)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Idaho State +14.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Montana State @ 83¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 60.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho State +14.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Idaho State and Montana State at ICCU Dome is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montana State vs. Idaho State
- Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00 PM PT
- Venue: ICCU Dome
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Conclusion
We predict Montana State, with an 84.9% win probability, will likely beat Idaho State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



