Montana State vs. Nevada prediction favors Montana State to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.5% win probability for Montana State at Mackay Stadium.

Montana State takes on Nevada in College Football action.
Montana State vs. Nevada college football gameday prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

Nevada will face Montana State in Week 2 college football action at Mackay Stadium on Saturday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Montana State as the most likely winner in this Montana State vs. Nevada prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

Montana State vs. Nevada prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Montana State vs. Nevada, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Montana State a 61.5% chance of beating Nevada. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 27-23. According to our model, Nevada (+3.5) has a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5-point over/under has a 51.8% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Montana State -3.5 (+100) / Nevada +3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Montana State -162, Nevada +140
  • Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-102/-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Nevada +3.5 @ -110 via bet365
  • Moneyline: Montana State @ -162 via FanDuel
  • Total: Over 50.5 @ -102 via Caesars

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 50.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Nevada and Montana State at Mackay Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Montana State vs. Nevada
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
  • Venue: Mackay Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Montana State, with a 61.5% win probability, will likely beat Nevada in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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