Sacramento State vs. Fresno State prediction favors Fresno State to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sacramento State vs. Fresno State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Fresno State a 90.5% chance of defeating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Fresno State winning 32-13. According to our model, Fresno State (-17.5) has a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 53.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sacramento State +17.5 (-115) / Fresno State -17.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Sacramento State +740, Fresno State -900
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-108/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fresno State -17.5 @ -105 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Fresno State @ -900 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 44.5 @ -108 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 44.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Fresno State and Sacramento State at Valley Children's Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento State vs. Fresno State
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: Valley Children's Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Sacramento State vs. Fresno State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Fresno State, with a 90.5% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.