Stony Brook vs. Ball State prediction favors Ball State to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Stony Brook vs. Ball State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Ball State an 82.9% chance of beating Stony Brook. Our predicted final score has Ball State winning 32-20. According to our model, Stony Brook (+14.5) has a 55.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 54.9% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Stony Brook +14.5 (-115) / Ball State -14.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Stony Brook +525, Ball State -575
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-105/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Stony Brook +14.5 @ -115 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Stony Brook @ +525 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 55.5 @ -115 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Stony Brook +14.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Ball State and Stony Brook at Scheumann Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Stony Brook vs. Ball State
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Scheumann Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

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Conclusion

We predict Ball State, with an 82.9% win probability, will likely beat Stony Brook in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.