Tennessee-Martin vs. Memphis prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tennessee-Martin vs. Memphis, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Memphis a 99.6% chance of defeating Tennessee-Martin. Our predicted final score has Memphis winning 45-11. According to our model, Tennessee-Martin (+34.5) has a 51.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 57.5-point over/under has a 51.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Tennessee-Martin +34.5 (-105) / Memphis -34.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Tennessee-Martin +4000, Memphis -50000
• Total: Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tennessee-Martin +34.5 @ -105 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Memphis @ -50000 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 57.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tennessee-Martin +34.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Memphis and Tennessee-Martin at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee-Martin vs. Memphis
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Memphis, with a 99.6% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee-Martin in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.