Texas-El Paso vs. North Dakota State prediction favors North Dakota State to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Texas-El Paso vs. North Dakota State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives North Dakota State a 95.9% chance of defeating Texas-El Paso. Our predicted final score has North Dakota State winning 34-10. According to our model, Texas-El Paso (+24.5) has a 52.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 64.6% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +24.5 (-112) / North Dakota State -24.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Texas-El Paso +1900, North Dakota State -2122
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (+203/-239)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +24.5 @ -112 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: North Dakota State @ 96¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 49.5 @ 33¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between North Dakota State and Texas-El Paso at Gate City Bank Field at the Fargodome is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Texas-El Paso vs. North Dakota State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30 PM PT
• Venue: Gate City Bank Field at the Fargodome

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Conclusion

We predict North Dakota State, with a 95.9% win probability, will likely beat Texas-El Paso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.