Texas State vs. Boise State prediction favors Boise State to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Texas State vs. Boise State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Boise State an 80.4% chance of defeating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 36-25. According to our model, Boise State (-10.5) has a 50.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 63.5 points has a 53.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Texas State +10.5 (+100) / Boise State -10.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Texas State +365, Boise State -376
• Total: Over/Under 63.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas State +10.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Boise State @ 79¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 63.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 63.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Boise State and Texas State at Albertsons Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Texas State vs. Boise State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00 PM PT
• Venue: Albertsons Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Boise State, with an 80.4% win probability, will likely beat Texas State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.