Texas vs. Missouri prediction: Why Texas is favored to win in college football Week 10 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Texas vs. Missouri, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Texas a 55.5% chance of defeating Missouri. Our predicted final score has Texas winning 23-21. According to our model, Missouri (+2.5) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 55.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Texas -2.5 (-115) / Missouri +2.5 (+101)
• Moneyline: Texas -130, Missouri +127
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-105/-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Missouri +2.5 @ +101 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Missouri @ 44¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 42.5 @ -105 via Caesars

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 42.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Missouri and Texas at Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Texas vs. Missouri
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
• Venue: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field

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Conclusion

We predict Texas, with a 55.5% win probability, will likely beat Missouri in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.