UAB vs. USF prediction favors South Florida to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of UAB vs. USF, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives South Florida a 75.9% chance of beating UAB. Our predicted final score has South Florida winning 26-18. According to our model, South Florida (-6.5) has a 58.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 54.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: UAB +6.5 (+127) / USF -6.5 (-130)
• Moneyline: UAB +257, USF -270
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (+135/-138)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: South Florida -6.5 @ 57¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: South Florida @ 73¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 45.5 @ 43¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 45.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between USF and UAB at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: UAB vs. South Florida
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict South Florida, with a 75.9% win probability, will likely beat UAB in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.