UC Davis vs. San Diego prediction: UC Davis favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 84.5% win probability for UC Davis at Torero Stadium.

San Diego will take on the favored UC Davis in Week 1 college football action at Torero Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects UC Davis as the most likely winner in this UC Davis vs. San Diego prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
UC Davis vs. San Diego prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model gives UC Davis an 84.5% chance of defeating San Diego. Our predicted final score has UC Davis winning 35-19.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and UC Davis and San Diego each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 57.5-point over/under has a 53.2% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: UC Davis -16.5 (-110) / San Diego +16.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: UC Davis -710, San Diego +525
- Total: Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: UC Davis -16.5 @ -110 via bet365
- Moneyline: San Diego @ +525 via bet365
- Total: Under 57.5 @ -110 via bet365
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 57.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between San Diego and UC Davis at Torero Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: UC Davis vs. San Diego
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Torero Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict UC Davis, with an 84.5% win probability, will likely beat San Diego in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




