UC Davis vs. SMU prediction favors Southern Methodist to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of UC Davis vs. SMU, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Southern Methodist a 97.0% chance of beating UC Davis. Our predicted final score has Southern Methodist winning 43-14. According to our model, UC Davis (+31.5) has a 56.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 59.5-point over/under has a 54.6% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: UC Davis +31.5 (-114) / SMU -31.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: UC Davis +2800, SMU -4000
• Total: Over/Under 59.5 (-105/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: UC Davis +31.5 @ -114 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: UC Davis @ +2800 via FanDuel
• Total: Under 59.5 @ -115 via FanDuel

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is UC Davis +31.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between SMU and UC Davis at Gerald J. Ford Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: UC Davis vs. Southern Methodist
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

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Make the most of Dimers' UC Davis vs. Southern Methodist predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below

Conclusion

We predict Southern Methodist, with a 97.0% win probability, will likely beat UC Davis in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.