Wagner vs. Merrimack prediction: Why Merrimack is favored to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wagner vs. Merrimack, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Merrimack an 87.3% chance of defeating Wagner. Our predicted final score has Merrimack winning 31-17. According to our model, Wagner (+14.5) has a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has a 54.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Wagner +14.5 (-111) / Merrimack -14.5 (+106)
• Moneyline: Wagner +520, Merrimack -525
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-111/-111)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Merrimack -14.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Merrimack @ 84¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 47.5 @ -111 via DraftKings

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Merrimack to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Merrimack and Wagner at Duane Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Wagner vs. Merrimack
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
• Venue: Duane Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Merrimack, with an 87.3% win probability, will likely beat Wagner in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.